Crime Information

OREGON CRIME RATES

PROBATION RATES

LOTTERY GROWTH

OREGON CRIME RATES

These statistics are drawn from FBI Uniform Crime Reports, except where otherwise noted.

In 1995, when Measure 11 went into effect, Oregon’s violent crime rate per 100,000 population was 522.4. The only years between 1960 and 1995 when the Oregon rate was higher than 522.4 were 1979, 1985, 1986, 1987, and 1988.

Upon implementation of Measure 11’s mandatory minimum prison sentences for violent crime, violent crime in Oregon went down dramatically:

YEAR
RATE
1995
522.4
1996
463.1
1997
444.4
1998
419.8
1999
374.9
2000
350.7
2001
306.6
2002
292.5
2003
294.8
2004
298.6
2005
286.8

 

The 2005 violent crime rate of 286.8 crimes per 100,000 population is the lowest rate in Oregon in 35 years (since 1970).

The reduction of Oregon violent crime, in the 10 years after Measure 11 went into effect, was 45%. This was the largest reduction in violent crime of all 50 states during those 10 years.

During the same timeframe, the property crime rate in Oregon, which is based on burglary, larceny-theft, and vehicle theft, showed some improvement. This included spillover effects of Measure 11 (some violent criminals also commit property crimes). The Oregon property crime rates per 100,000 population were:

YEAR
RATE
1995
6041.5
1996
5533.6
1997
5825.3
1998
5226.8
1999
4626.9
2000
4494.7
2001
4736.6
2002
4577.5
2003
4765.6
2004
4635.4
2005
4399.8

 

The 2005 rate is 27% lower than the 1995 rate. This is good news but not nearly as good as the 45% reduction in the violent crime rate during the same timeframe.

While progress has been made, Oregon’s property crime rate has compared unfavorably to the other 49 states. In 2003 and 2004, Oregon had the third worst property crime rate of all 50 states. In 2005, Oregon had the fourth worst property crime rate. Recent reports indicate that this improved substantially in 2006, when Oregon had the 18th worst property crime rate of the 50 states - but that is still a very disturbing ranking.

Drug crime is not covered in the “violent crime” or “property crime” categories. Here are the sobering figures as to reported drug crime in Oregon from 2000 to 2005 (taken from Oregon Annual Uniform Crime Reports):

YEAR
RATE
2000
23,572
2001
23,341
2002
23,994
2003
24,425
2004
26,330
2005
28,300

 

Allowing for the fact that these are total crime figures, not rates per 100,000 population, and our population has continued to grow, the sheer volume is alarming. After all, drug crime is, along with prostitution, poorly reported.

As to motor vehicle theft, the volume of actual reported crimes in Oregon in recent years is very disturbing (based on Oregon Annual Uniform Crime Reports):

YEAR
RATE
2000
14,248
2001
15,240
2002
17,260
2003
19,435
2004
19,066
2005
19,998

 

Event when indexed per 100,000 population, per FBI national reports, Oregon’s vehicle theft rate is disturbing:

YEAR
RATE
2000
407.2
2001
427.3
2002
469.4
2003
532.3
2004
516.1
2005
529.0

 

In reviewing these figures, remember that Oregon does not separately track two critical crimes: mail theft and identity theft. These crimes are submerged within property crime figures but are, sadly, deeply personal. They can have a tremendously damaging effect.

Federal Trade Commission reports for 2006 indicate that Oregon’s Identity Theft rate per 100,000 population was 76, which is the 14th worst of the 50 states.

Our goal should be to improve Oregon’s public safety system, on a holistic basis, so that Oregon consistently ranks among the best five states in all crime categories.

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Actual PROBATION rates for these crimes (2007 figures). These numbers are from the Oregon Criminal Justice Commission.

CRIME
PROBATION RATE
Burglary 1
53%
Burglary 2
70%
Forgery
77%
Identity Theft
62%
Motor Vehicle Theft
57%
Theft 1st Degree
75%
Overall for These Crimes
65%

This is a BLEND of first-time convictions and REPEAT offenders. The probation rate for first convictions is nearly 100%!

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How Much Has The Lottery Grown?

Here are the statistics for the growth in lottery profits.

Since 2001, the lottery has grown an average of 23.25% each biennium. If you include the initial drop in lottery revenues in 1999-2001, the lottery still has grown an average of 17.6% each biennium. (Source: Oregon Lottery, September 2007)

 

BIENNIUM
TRANSFER AMOUNT
(in millions)

CHANGE
(=/-)

1997-1999
$607
------
1999-2001
$580
-5%
2001-2003
$737
+27%
2003-2005
$779
+5%
2005-2007
$1,087
+38%
2007-2009*
$1,335*
+23%

*Projected 2007-2009 transfers based on September 2007 economic forecast issued by the Oregon Department of Administrative Services.